Two QBs deserve contract extensions more than Dak Prescott, NFL writer says

Dallas News

Dak Prescott and the Cowboys are currently in negotiations on a long-term contract extension to keep the quarterback in Dallas for the foreseeable future.

But even after his impressive first four seasons with the Cowboys, is Prescott the most deserving player of a contract extension in the NFL? One expert says no.

NFL Network analytics expert Cynthia Frelund recently broke down the top ten players from all positions who should be the next in line to get paid, and Prescott came in third.

“His ranking here is interesting, because Dallas’ non-QB offensive players have a higher collective win-share total than the supporting casts of all but two teams,” Frelund said. “In other words, the Cowboys’ offensive line, running backs and pass-catchers add a lot more win-share value than most quarterbacks work with around the league. And yet, Prescott is crucial to the Cowboys’ success.

“Consider that Next Gen Stats show Prescott ranked third in the NFL in passing yards per attempt on passes of 10-plus air yards (13.0) in 2019; he also threw 18 touchdowns on such passes (third-best). And for all the value the receivers add, Dak’s pass-catchers dropped the most passes in the NFL (43), per Pro Football Focus. If he ends up playing on the tag, Dak will be the seventh-highest paid QB in the NFL on an average annual basis, per Over the Cap.”

Ahead of Prescott were fellow quarterbacks DeShaun Watson and Patrick Mahomes who both tied for the top spot.

Mahomes claimed Frelund’s highest win-share projection for 2020, but Watson’s production in Houston helped make up the difference when determining which deal would be more important.

“My models rate getting Watson’s deal done this season as almost exactly the same value as the Chiefs extending Patrick Mahomes,” Frelund said.

“When I sort the surrounding offensive casts of the top seven QBs in terms of win-share in my model (including Watson, Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, Drew Brees, Tom Brady), Watson’s current surrounding cast on offense ranks the lowest … by far.”

Mahomes and Watson both received “deal priority ratings” of 10 while Prescott was graded an 8.

Prescott recently signed his exclusive franchise tender for the 2020 season, but the two sides still have until July 15 to complete an extension prior Prescott playing on the tag this season.

Other local players included on the list were New York Jets safety and Hebron High School product Jamal Adams (ranked ninth), and Cleveland Brown defensive end Myles Garrett (ranked 10th). Garrett attended both Arlington Martin High School and Texas A&M.

Read the full list.

Find more Cowboys stories from The Dallas Morning News here.


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